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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 16 668,78 | 90,5 | 15 085,24 | +1 092,31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 14 716,38 | 78,5 | 11 552,36 | +493,04 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | 8 283,97 | 98,2 | 8 139,01 | +1 911,2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 10 003,35 | 71,5 | 7 152,39 | +565,22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 7 999,98 | 85,5 | 6 839,99 | +200,01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 7 000 | 92,5 | 6 475 | −35 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 7 995,81 | 78,5 | 6 276,71 | +659,18 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | 7 700,4 | 72,5 | 5 582,79 | −214,87 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 5 090,45 | 100 | 5 087,9 | +829,14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 5 085,66 | 95,7 | 4 866,98 | +445,89 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No | 4 650,39 | 88,5 | 4 115,6 | +185,3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 13 196,71 | 20,5 | 2 705,33 | −7 986,35 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 2 672,12 | 86,4 | 2 310,05 | +207,7 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | 2 303,94 | 94,5 | 2 177,22 | +90,57 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2 456,82 | 81,5 | 2 002,31 | −73,98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 4 000 | 43,5 | 1 740 | +45 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?No | 1 533,27 | 89,5 | 1 372,28 | +124,47 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 1 464,35 | 87,5 | 1 281,31 | +260,45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 3 500 | 33,5 | 1 172,5 | −1 067,5 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1 164,7 | 89,2 | 1 038,33 | +44,52 |
| Cornell President out by October 31?No | 823,35 | 93 | 765,72 | +23,27 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 759,51 | 99,6 | 756,09 | +4,75 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 4 416,21 | 16,5 | 728,67 | −375,38 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?No | 222,91 | 94,8 | 211,21 | +11,74 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | 72,2 | 88,5 | 63,9 | +34,3 |
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?No | 33,33 | 99,8 | 33,25 | +0,92 |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No | 30 | 92,5 | 27,75 | +0,75 |
| Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No | 15 | 92,5 | 13,88 | +0,68 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 1,64 | 93 | 1,52 | +0,05 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 6 286,58 | 0 | 0 | −524,09 |
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