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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 23,988.72 | 99.5 | 23,868.77 | +12,755.26 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 17,238.39 | 84.5 | 14,566.44 | +9,162.29 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 15,468.85 | 87 | 13,457.9 | +7,600.79 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 14,866.18 | 85 | 12,636.26 | +2,607.66 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 8,682.88 | 89.5 | 7,771.18 | +763.22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 5,898.59 | 99.8 | 5,889.74 | +2,364.73 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 3,823.99 | 94.5 | 3,613.67 | +201.35 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4,900.11 | 68.5 | 3,356.57 | +111.48 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 4,693.23 | 67.5 | 3,167.93 | +222.93 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 3,338.59 | 89.2 | 2,976.35 | +458.6 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 2,795.56 | 100 | 2,794.16 | +553 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | 3,081 | 88 | 2,711.28 | +774.45 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?No | 2,821.72 | 92.5 | 2,610.09 | +562.82 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | 615 | 99.5 | 611.92 | +46.12 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 731.63 | 62 | 453.61 | +150.89 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | 332.91 | 98 | 326.25 | +126.31 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?No | 308.28 | 93.2 | 287.16 | +22.74 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 247.13 | 99.4 | 245.65 | +60.3 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 155 | 99.5 | 154.22 | +34.88 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | 120 | 64.5 | 77.4 | +28.2 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No | 51.31 | 91 | 46.69 | +24.29 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | 50.75 | 67 | 34 | +0.82 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 181.72 | 1.6 | 2.82 | −0.2 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | 7,555.91 | 0 | 0 | −5,999.99 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | 290 | 0 | 0 | −66.7 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No | 5,031.87 | 0 | 0 | −3,381.38 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | 3,208.89 | 0 | 0 | −1,220.94 |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | 6,360.76 | 0 | 0 | −4,416.94 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | 4,466.14 | 0 | 0 | −40.22 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | 5,393.96 | 0 | 0 | −1,152.29 |
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