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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 23.988,72 | 100 | 23.988,72 | +12.875,2 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 17.238,39 | 86,5 | 14.911,21 | +9.507,06 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 15.468,85 | 87 | 13.457,9 | +7.600,79 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 14.866,18 | 85 | 12.636,26 | +2.607,66 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 8.682,88 | 90 | 7.814,59 | +806,63 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 5.898,59 | 100 | 5.898,59 | +2.373,58 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 3.823,99 | 97,8 | 3.741,78 | +329,46 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4.900,11 | 71,5 | 3.503,58 | +258,48 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 4.693,23 | 72 | 3.379,13 | +434,13 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 3.338,59 | 83,8 | 2.796,07 | +278,31 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 2.795,56 | 100 | 2.795,56 | +554,4 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | 3.081 | 88 | 2.711,28 | +774,45 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?No | 2.821,72 | 94 | 2.652,42 | +605,15 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | 615 | 100 | 615 | +49,2 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 731,63 | 66,5 | 486,53 | +183,81 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | 332,91 | 99,4 | 330,91 | +130,97 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?No | 308,28 | 93 | 286,85 | +22,44 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 247,13 | 100 | 247,13 | +61,78 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 155 | 100 | 155 | +35,65 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | 120 | 68,5 | 82,2 | +33 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No | 51,31 | 89 | 45,66 | +23,26 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | 50,75 | 68,5 | 34,76 | +1,58 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 181,72 | 3 | 5,45 | +2,44 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | 7.555,91 | 0 | 0 | −5.999,99 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | 290 | 0 | 0 | −66,7 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No | 5.031,87 | 0 | 0 | −3.381,38 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | 3.208,89 | 0 | 0 | −1.220,94 |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | 6.360,76 | 0 | 0 | −4.416,94 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | 4.466,14 | 0 | 0 | −40,22 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | 5.393,96 | 0 | 0 | −1.152,29 |
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