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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 31.846,55 | 92,5 | 29.458,06 | +7.873,8 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 15.034,79 | 93,5 | 14.057,53 | +77,77 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 17.223,06 | 76 | 13.089,53 | +3.159,91 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 14.225,42 | 81,5 | 11.593,72 | +1.475,29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 4.844 | 91,5 | 4.432,26 | +157,7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 3.142,6 | 83,5 | 2.624,07 | +38,19 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 1.955,25 | 91,5 | 1.789,05 | +29,33 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 1.034 | 97,8 | 1.011,77 | +62,02 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 577,75 | 75,5 | 436,2 | +154,54 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 469 | 88,5 | 415,06 | +21,11 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | 338,25 | 68,5 | 231,7 | −0,65 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 251,54 | 87,5 | 220,1 | +1,87 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes | 255 | 78 | 198,9 | −34,73 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?No | 153,73 | 95 | 146,04 | +4,35 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 20, 2026?No | 145,22 | 94,4 | 137,16 | +0,48 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?No | 94,56 | 94,5 | 89,36 | +1,42 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 100 | 76,5 | 76,5 | +3,5 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 26, 2026?No | 75,03 | 93,5 | 70,15 | +1,63 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | 73,33 | 80 | 58,66 | −10,52 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Yes | 114,66 | 31 | 35,54 | −13,06 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?No | 40 | 84,5 | 33,8 | +0,2 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 24, 2026?No | 33,89 | 93,5 | 31,69 | −0,85 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026?No | 17,94 | 95,6 | 17,15 | +6,21 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Yes | 20 | 66 | 13,2 | +6,6 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes | 27,17 | 47,5 | 12,91 | −0,34 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 980,21 | 0 | 0 | −825,46 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | 1.036,1 | 0 | 0 | −777,59 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | 10 | 0 | 0 | −8 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?No | 931,99 | 0 | 0 | −615,23 |
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