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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 573,626.42 | 85.5 | 490,450.59 | +70,007.09 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 232,514.47 | 60.4 | 140,322.48 | +21,926.45 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 114,362.97 | 83 | 94,921.26 | +2,438.45 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 53,189.79 | 100 | 53,163.2 | +8,799.88 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 29,841.15 | 91.5 | 27,304.65 | +750.48 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | 29,082.98 | 89.5 | 26,029.27 | +800.34 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 23,863.64 | 91.5 | 21,835.23 | +835.25 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 32,092.25 | 61.5 | 19,736.73 | +2,101.38 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 22,103.33 | 87 | 19,229.9 | +594.96 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | 20,685.22 | 76 | 15,720.77 | −1,467.91 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 8,985.96 | 79.6 | 7,152.82 | −20.29 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 5,282.83 | 89.5 | 4,728.14 | +629.76 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 4,880.15 | 85.5 | 4,172.52 | +22.53 |
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | 4,383.28 | 66.5 | 2,914.88 | +25.05 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | 3,006.22 | 84.5 | 2,540.25 | +18.26 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 2,878.01 | 87.9 | 2,529.77 | −38.23 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 4,111.63 | 57.5 | 2,364.19 | +931.41 |
| Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes | 2,957.46 | 74.5 | 2,203.31 | −148.2 |
| Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 2,397.74 | 88.5 | 2,122 | +240.88 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 2,523.96 | 82 | 2,069.65 | +37.65 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2,723.95 | 71.5 | 1,947.62 | −122.58 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 2,027.16 | 92 | 1,864.98 | +36.37 |
| Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 1,110.28 | 93.3 | 1,035.89 | −1.11 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | 1,019.2 | 95 | 968.24 | +100.71 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 918.39 | 96 | 881.66 | +234.66 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes | 1,748.56 | 37 | 646.97 | −426.03 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 652.7 | 91 | 593.96 | +20.96 |
| Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 478.33 | 93.6 | 447.71 | +46.41 |
| Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes | 585.04 | 76 | 444.63 | −33.77 |
| Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes | 647.21 | 65.6 | 424.89 | +121.3 |
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