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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 573.626,42 | 86,5 | 496.186,85 | +75.743,35 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 234.603,48 | 62,6 | 146.861,78 | +27.192,9 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 114.362,97 | 83 | 94.921,26 | +2.438,45 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 29.970,88 | 96 | 28.772,05 | +2.094,89 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | 29.082,98 | 89,5 | 26.029,27 | +800,34 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 27.516,85 | 91 | 25.040,34 | +1.588,41 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 23.863,64 | 92,5 | 22.073,86 | +1.073,89 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 32.092,25 | 62,5 | 20.057,66 | +2.422,3 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | 20.685,22 | 77,5 | 16.031,05 | −1.157,63 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes | 12.389,66 | 95,6 | 11.844,51 | +311,54 |
| Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 13.506,22 | 82,5 | 11.142,63 | +289,53 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 7.933,83 | 94,6 | 7.501,43 | +62,44 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | 7.281,34 | 85,5 | 6.225,55 | +113,62 |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Bolsonaro | 5.947,36 | 90,5 | 5.382,36 | +208,36 |
| Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 5.253,3 | 96,4 | 5.061,56 | +200,57 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 5.282,83 | 88,5 | 4.675,31 | +576,93 |
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | 6.533,9 | 67 | 4.377,71 | +25,88 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 4.880,15 | 85,5 | 4.172,52 | +22,53 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4.728,86 | 68,5 | 3.239,27 | −214,32 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | 3.006,22 | 84,5 | 2.540,25 | +18,26 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | 4.111,63 | 57,5 | 2.364,19 | +931,41 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes | 2.373,68 | 95 | 2.255 | 0 |
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No | 2.391,67 | 93,5 | 2.236,21 | +68,6 |
| Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes | 2.957,46 | 73,5 | 2.173,74 | −177,77 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 2.523,96 | 81,5 | 2.057,03 | +25,03 |
| Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 2.397,74 | 85 | 2.038,08 | +156,96 |
| Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 1.504,42 | 95 | 1.429,2 | +41,2 |
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Yes | 1.293,79 | 94,5 | 1.222,63 | +4,63 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | 1.213,68 | 94,8 | 1.149,97 | −3,03 |
| Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | 1.154,85 | 89 | 1.027,82 | −12,18 |
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