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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 17,500 | 86.5 | 15,137.5 | +147.51 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 13,000 | 88.5 | 11,505 | −190.02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 15,000 | 59 | 8,850 | +437.46 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | 4,400 | 95.4 | 4,195.4 | −8.91 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 3,912.5 | 93.5 | 3,658.19 | +58.69 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 3,000 | 95.8 | 2,872.5 | +82.5 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 2,767.78 | 88.5 | 2,449.48 | −13.83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 10,000 | 19.5 | 1,950 | −199.97 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 4,409.6 | 42.5 | 1,874.08 | −236.62 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 11,499.99 | 10.5 | 1,207.5 | −322.44 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes | 760 | 71.5 | 543.4 | −16.73 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 420 | 100 | 419.79 | +9.24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 10,000 | 3 | 295 | −85 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | 293.93 | 94.5 | 277.76 | +13.23 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes | 660 | 35 | 231 | −140.52 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes | 458 | 46.5 | 212.97 | −9.32 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 3,000 | 1.4 | 42 | −5.99 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 8.78 | 97 | 8.52 | +1.05 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes | 373 | 0 | 0.19 | −4.66 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 5,999.98 | 0 | 0 | −779.99 |
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