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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 17 500 | 86,5 | 15 137,5 | +147,51 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 13 000 | 88,5 | 11 505 | −190,02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 15 000 | 59 | 8 850 | +437,46 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | 4 400 | 95,4 | 4 195,4 | −8,91 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 3 912,5 | 93,5 | 3 658,19 | +58,69 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 3 000 | 95,8 | 2 872,5 | +82,5 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 2 767,78 | 88,5 | 2 449,48 | −13,83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 10 000 | 19,5 | 1 950 | −199,97 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 4 409,6 | 42,5 | 1 874,08 | −236,62 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 11 499,99 | 10,5 | 1 207,5 | −322,44 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes | 760 | 71,5 | 543,4 | −16,73 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 420 | 100 | 419,79 | +9,24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 10 000 | 3 | 295 | −85 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | 293,93 | 94,5 | 277,76 | +13,23 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes | 660 | 35 | 231 | −140,52 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes | 458 | 46,5 | 212,97 | −9,32 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 3 000 | 1,4 | 42 | −5,99 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 8,78 | 97 | 8,52 | +1,05 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes | 373 | 0 | 0,19 | −4,66 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 5 999,98 | 0 | 0 | −779,99 |
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