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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No | 379,16 | 77 | 291,95 | +8,58 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 264,68 | 100 | 264,55 | +22,75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30?Yes | 140,82 | 100 | 140,75 | +83,05 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | 168,77 | 78,5 | 132,49 | +27,98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?Yes | 137,5 | 89 | 122,38 | +20,04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No | 110 | 99,4 | 109,28 | +1,44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?No | 112,28 | 88 | 98,81 | +8,68 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 130,69 | 75 | 97,95 | +11,65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?No | 93,82 | 99,5 | 93,35 | +24,31 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No | 113,52 | 78,5 | 89,12 | −3,11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?Yes | 87,64 | 99,6 | 87,29 | +23,53 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 379,49 | 23 | 87,28 | −10,27 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 139,63 | 61,5 | 85,87 | −1,23 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 145 | 55,5 | 80,47 | +5,83 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 98,77 | 74,5 | 73,58 | +35,81 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 89,7 | 76,5 | 68,62 | +35,92 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 146,09 | 44,5 | 65,01 | −3,69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30?Yes | 60,26 | 100 | 60,23 | +9,04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 117,53 | 50,5 | 59,35 | +6,8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No | 115,55 | 49,5 | 57,2 | −8,93 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 147,77 | 38,5 | 56,89 | +4,22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?No | 56,89 | 100 | 56,86 | +3,69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?No | 64,16 | 80 | 51,32 | +5,21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?No | 69 | 66 | 45,54 | −2,33 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?Yes | 48,06 | 92 | 44,22 | +2,28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?Yes | 58,28 | 74 | 43,13 | +5,84 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026No | 45 | 91,4 | 41,13 | −1,53 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | 40 | 99,3 | 39,72 | +0,86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1?No | 38,27 | 100 | 38,25 | +5,37 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 45,69 | 83,5 | 38,15 | −3,44 |
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