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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No | 1,005.12 | 6 | 60.31 | −14.34 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1,045.31 | 5.2 | 54.88 | −4.3 |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes | 404 | 12.5 | 50.5 | −6.06 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 101 | 44 | 44.44 | +34.84 |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | 1,092.76 | 4 | 43.16 | −10.21 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | 1,611.05 | 2.6 | 41.08 | −2.17 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 403.43 | 9.5 | 38.33 | −2.02 |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | 837.31 | 4.4 | 36.84 | −18.46 |
| Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | 367.44 | 9.8 | 36.01 | +3.02 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes | 628 | 5.5 | 34.54 | −2.82 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 402.24 | 8.5 | 34.19 | −2.01 |
| Will Pablo Tellez reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Yes | 101 | 30 | 30.3 | +21.21 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 402.6 | 7.5 | 30.19 | 0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 402 | 7.5 | 30.15 | +2.01 |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes | 572.67 | 5.2 | 29.78 | −7.36 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Yes | 465.09 | 6.2 | 28.84 | −0.68 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | 372.83 | 7.5 | 27.96 | −1.91 |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes | 357.89 | 7.5 | 26.84 | −6.26 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | 849.82 | 3.2 | 26.77 | −28.4 |
| Will Brandon McManus finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes | 101 | 26.5 | 26.77 | +17.68 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Yes | 899.29 | 3 | 26.53 | −29.43 |
| Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | 201.96 | 13 | 26.25 | +9.12 |
| Will Trump say "Discord" in September?Yes | 766.9 | 3.4 | 26.07 | −1 |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Yes | 786.27 | 3.3 | 25.95 | −14.21 |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?No | 747.77 | 3.4 | 25.42 | −19.64 |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?Yes | 827.03 | 3 | 24.81 | −20.96 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?Yes | 657.98 | 3.8 | 24.67 | −15.72 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Yes | 201 | 11.5 | 23.11 | −1.01 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | 23.06 | 98.4 | 22.7 | +21.65 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 408 | 5.5 | 22.44 | +0.51 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.