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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 101 | 66,5 | 67,17 | +57,57 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1.045,31 | 5 | 52,27 | −6,92 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No | 1.005,12 | 5,1 | 51,26 | −23,38 |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes | 404 | 12,5 | 50,5 | −6,06 |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | 1.092,76 | 3,9 | 42,62 | −10,75 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | 1.611,05 | 2,6 | 41,08 | −2,17 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 403,43 | 9,5 | 38,33 | −2,02 |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | 837,31 | 4,6 | 38,1 | −17,21 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 815,99 | 4,2 | 34,68 | −3,57 |
| Ethos FDV above $12M one day after launch?No | 168 | 19 | 31,92 | +22,16 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 402,6 | 7,5 | 30,19 | 0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 402,24 | 7,5 | 30,17 | −6,03 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 402 | 7,5 | 30,15 | +2,01 |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Yes | 272,94 | 11 | 30,02 | +4,74 |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes | 572,67 | 5,2 | 29,78 | −7,36 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Yes | 465,09 | 6,3 | 29,3 | −0,21 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?Yes | 657,98 | 4,4 | 29,28 | −11,12 |
| Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | 367,44 | 7,9 | 29,03 | −3,96 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes | 628 | 4,5 | 28,26 | −9,1 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | 372,83 | 7,5 | 27,96 | −1,91 |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes | 357,89 | 7,5 | 26,84 | −6,26 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | 849,82 | 3,2 | 26,77 | −28,4 |
| Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?Yes | 101 | 26,5 | 26,77 | +15,66 |
| Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | 201,96 | 12,9 | 26,05 | +8,92 |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Yes | 786,27 | 3,3 | 25,95 | −14,21 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 18+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?Yes | 101 | 24,5 | 24,75 | +16,5 |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?Yes | 827,03 | 2,9 | 23,98 | −21,78 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 313,82 | 7,2 | 22,75 | −5,13 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 705,09 | 3,2 | 22,21 | −18,8 |
| Will Trump say "Discord" in September?Yes | 766,9 | 2,8 | 21,86 | −5,22 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.