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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 11 655,59 | 80,5 | 9 382,75 | +357,01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 8 234,02 | 100 | 8 234,02 | +529,27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 9 320,58 | 63,6 | 5 932,55 | +946,65 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 6 803,69 | 86,5 | 5 885,19 | +90,37 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 7 499,99 | 67,5 | 5 062,49 | −75,83 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 5 656,27 | 87,4 | 4 946,41 | +189,86 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6 038,57 | 79,5 | 4 800,66 | −115,49 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12 588,35 | 36,5 | 4 594,75 | −1 010,28 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 4 574,4 | 100 | 4 574,4 | +167,67 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 4 127,29 | 96 | 3 960,13 | +53,87 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 3 958,26 | 100 | 3 958,26 | +221,97 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | 4 291,7 | 91,4 | 3 920,47 | +569,44 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 6 000 | 62,5 | 3 750 | −119,99 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 4 568,81 | 81,6 | 3 728,15 | −240,72 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 4 033,89 | 90,5 | 3 650,67 | +131,26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4 265,38 | 79,5 | 3 390,98 | −106,64 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 3 434,48 | 96,2 | 3 303,97 | +479,05 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 7 713,46 | 40,6 | 3 135,52 | −100,59 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 3 888,81 | 80,5 | 3 130,49 | +363,27 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No | 3 923,11 | 78,5 | 3 079,64 | +69,53 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 3 367,53 | 89,5 | 3 013,94 | +155,88 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 3 599,96 | 82,1 | 2 955,56 | +193,79 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | 3 077,48 | 95,3 | 2 932,84 | −5,27 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | 3 008,89 | 95,7 | 2 879,51 | +127,94 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 4 172,52 | 68,5 | 2 858,18 | −42,2 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | 3 555,24 | 79,5 | 2 826,42 | −44,8 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 4 499,96 | 61 | 2 744,98 | +25,04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 3 000,01 | 90,5 | 2 715,01 | +75,01 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 3 120,58 | 86 | 2 683,7 | +307,93 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 4 104,2 | 62,5 | 2 565,12 | +500,67 |
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