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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 17,319.33 | 91.5 | 15,847.19 | +7,063.57 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 19,075.9 | 79 | 15,069.96 | +5,709.19 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | 13,100.14 | 100 | 13,093.59 | +2,313.69 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 12,624.57 | 79.5 | 10,036.53 | +1,633.4 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 10,212.4 | 95.5 | 9,752.84 | +225.88 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 10,161.07 | 95.6 | 9,719.07 | +309.77 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 10,106.81 | 93.6 | 9,454.92 | +354.57 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 18,402.5 | 44.8 | 8,244.32 | −567.15 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 10,028.63 | 82 | 8,228.49 | −184.03 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 14,726.76 | 55.5 | 8,173.35 | +1,439.88 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 10,891.09 | 70.5 | 7,678.22 | +751.84 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 12,502.77 | 60.8 | 7,595.43 | +7,088.47 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 7,130.71 | 100 | 7,127.15 | +1,218.7 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | 8,433.88 | 77.5 | 6,536.25 | +652.87 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 6,491.92 | 100 | 6,488.67 | +1,621.87 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 6,210.72 | 95.8 | 5,946.77 | +147.19 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 12,045.39 | 47 | 5,655.31 | +1,726.14 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 5,615.57 | 97 | 5,447.1 | +612.13 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 8,047.73 | 67.5 | 5,432.22 | +358.82 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | 6,072.16 | 86 | 5,222.06 | +2,813.73 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | 5,020.16 | 96.6 | 4,846.96 | +70.5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 6,072.29 | 79.5 | 4,827.47 | +695.53 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 6,864.31 | 65.5 | 4,496.13 | +190.64 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 7,183.07 | 59.5 | 4,273.93 | −494.5 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 4,334.59 | 98.4 | 4,267.4 | +243.47 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 10,985.31 | 38.5 | 4,229.34 | +2,295.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 6,612.83 | 62.5 | 4,133.02 | +1,211.97 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 4,766.71 | 84 | 4,001.65 | +174.39 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | 3,999.99 | 100 | 3,997.99 | +102 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | 3,798.23 | 96.7 | 3,672.89 | +113.95 |
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