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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 20.244,98 | 99,3 | 20.103,27 | +6.201,28 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 14.199,41 | 99,7 | 14.156,81 | +6.025,77 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 2.398,56 | 99,6 | 2.390,16 | +776,77 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes | 1.849,99 | 62 | 1.147,92 | −208,18 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 1.728,31 | 63,5 | 1.097,48 | +22,95 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.839,98 | 59 | 1.085,59 | −77,99 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 1.561,14 | 65,5 | 1.022,55 | −12,19 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes | 1.100 | 89,5 | 984,5 | +71,5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | 2.471,55 | 34 | 840,33 | −12,91 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 1.200 | 65,5 | 786 | +30 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 400 | 88,5 | 354 | +12 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?No | 443,12 | 79,5 | 352,28 | +4,1 |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?No change | 496,3 | 65,5 | 325,08 | +225,82 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 500 | 60,5 | 302,5 | +0,5 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Yes | 276,48 | 98,6 | 272,75 | +102,86 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes | 999,99 | 26,5 | 265 | −29 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes | 699,99 | 30 | 209,65 | −36,35 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?Yes | 199,98 | 98,9 | 197,78 | +61,79 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?No | 200,09 | 97,5 | 195,09 | +13,03 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 400 | 45,4 | 181,6 | −30,5 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | 651,84 | 27,5 | 179,26 | −153,09 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?No | 102,23 | 88,5 | 90,47 | −0,3 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?No | 99,99 | 69,5 | 69,5 | +0,5 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | 99,58 | 61 | 60,74 | −7,97 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 200 | 20,5 | 41 | −14 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 300 | 12,5 | 37,5 | +7,5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 300 | 9 | 27 | −6 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 200 | 12,6 | 25,3 | −13 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes | 99,83 | 19,5 | 19,47 | +2,04 |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps | 11,62 | 34,5 | 4,01 | −2,96 |
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