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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 509,323.65 | 93.5 | 476,217.61 | +87,540 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 370,469.8 | 85.5 | 316,751.68 | +44,092.2 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 160,896.84 | 95.4 | 153,576.03 | +16,776.87 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 64,339.1 | 94.5 | 60,800.45 | +11,676.52 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 33,373.75 | 84 | 28,033.95 | +5,949.34 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 33,594.57 | 66.2 | 22,222.81 | +5,021.3 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | 16,122.02 | 95 | 15,315.91 | +3,263.63 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 14,912.02 | 92.5 | 13,793.62 | +1,557.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 52,246.07 | 20.5 | 10,710.44 | −18,100.86 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 15,099.87 | 70.5 | 10,645.41 | +4,441.69 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 11,238.22 | 86.4 | 9,704.2 | +2,382.13 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | 9,005.11 | 99.8 | 8,991.6 | +960.52 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 56,175.35 | 14.5 | 8,145.43 | −9,015.86 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 8,364.99 | 95.1 | 7,955.1 | +1,143.43 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 43,255.08 | 14 | 6,055.71 | −5,332.27 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | 6,114.54 | 93 | 5,686.52 | +558.91 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 5,092.11 | 96.2 | 4,898.61 | +1,198.3 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 4,994.24 | 93.5 | 4,669.61 | +794.17 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | 5,559 | 83.5 | 4,641.77 | +910.51 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | 3,928.25 | 94.5 | 3,712.2 | +508.54 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 4,444.29 | 82.5 | 3,666.54 | +1,396.29 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | 3,588.68 | 88.6 | 3,177.77 | +181.66 |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No | 3,088.7 | 96.6 | 2,982.14 | +492.16 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | 2,849.63 | 100 | 2,848.2 | +426.03 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | 17,985.72 | 13.5 | 2,428.07 | −5,363.16 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | 15,243.7 | 15.5 | 2,362.77 | −6,416.12 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | 15,591.55 | 14 | 2,182.82 | −3,597.87 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | 2,177.59 | 100 | 2,176.5 | +103.44 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 11,237.96 | 15.5 | 1,741.88 | −1,745.1 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1,331.35 | 92.5 | 1,231.5 | +216.93 |
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