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Proches au classement: #54 LaBradfordSmith22 #55 tazcot #56 BAREFLUX #57 Kch-Temp #58 tdrhrhhd #60 1j59y6nk #61 blackwall #62 0943 #63 0x7fB7Ad0d194D7123e711e7db6C9D418fAc14E33d-1750343282446 #64 ImJustKen
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 509 323,65 | 93,5 | 476 217,61 | +87 540 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 370 469,8 | 85,5 | 316 751,68 | +44 092,2 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 160 896,84 | 95,4 | 153 576,03 | +16 776,87 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 64 339,1 | 94,5 | 60 800,45 | +11 676,52 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 33 373,75 | 84 | 28 033,95 | +5 949,34 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 33 594,57 | 66,2 | 22 256,4 | +5 054,9 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | 16 122,02 | 95 | 15 315,91 | +3 263,63 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 14 912,02 | 92,5 | 13 793,62 | +1 557,25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 52 246,07 | 20,5 | 10 710,44 | −18 100,86 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 15 099,87 | 70,5 | 10 645,41 | +4 441,69 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 11 238,22 | 86,6 | 9 726,68 | +2 404,61 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | 9 005,11 | 99,8 | 8 991,6 | +960,52 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 56 175,35 | 14,5 | 8 145,43 | −9 015,86 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 8 364,99 | 95 | 7 946,74 | +1 135,06 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 43 255,08 | 14 | 6 055,71 | −5 332,27 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | 6 114,54 | 93 | 5 686,52 | +558,91 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 5 092,11 | 96,2 | 4 898,61 | +1 198,3 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 4 994,24 | 93 | 4 644,64 | +769,2 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | 5 559 | 83,5 | 4 641,77 | +910,51 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | 3 928,25 | 94,5 | 3 712,2 | +508,54 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 4 444,29 | 82 | 3 644,32 | +1 374,07 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | 3 588,68 | 88,6 | 3 181,36 | +185,25 |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No | 3 088,7 | 96,6 | 2 982,14 | +492,16 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | 2 849,63 | 100 | 2 848,2 | +426,03 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | 17 985,72 | 13,5 | 2 428,07 | −5 363,16 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | 15 243,7 | 15,5 | 2 362,77 | −6 416,12 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | 15 591,55 | 14 | 2 182,82 | −3 597,87 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | 2 177,59 | 100 | 2 176,5 | +103,44 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 11 237,96 | 15,5 | 1 741,88 | −1 745,1 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 1 331,35 | 92,5 | 1 231,5 | +216,93 |
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