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Proches au classement: #158 ErnstBlofeld #159 0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A #160 foodenjoyer #161 raybanman #162 one8tyfive #164 wan123 #165 Neonbruv #166 0x145c5DaD6033A1de0930DC1EC9aE107Fc61f43bC-1760209520925 #167 Macks22 #168 WoofMaster
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 275 564,13 | 37,5 | 103 336,55 | −36 950,44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 148 476,95 | 62,6 | 93 020,81 | +30 958,69 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 60 260,67 | 91,5 | 55 138,51 | +7 025,07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 45 815,92 | 93,5 | 42 837,88 | +8 883,75 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 44 288,1 | 69,5 | 30 780,23 | −4 360,79 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 30 668,78 | 100 | 30 653,45 | +1 163,01 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 32 739,14 | 77,5 | 25 372,83 | −2 444,9 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 348 145,32 | 7,2 | 25 066,46 | +9 214,95 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 48 099,76 | 50,4 | 24 266,33 | +2 785,26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 26 076,73 | 86,5 | 22 556,38 | +867,63 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 32 689,5 | 68,5 | 22 392,31 | −1 789,72 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 100 431,42 | 20,8 | 20 839,52 | −2 468,7 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 21 739,37 | 95,2 | 20 695,88 | +337,26 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 34 372,08 | 59,4 | 20 434,2 | +1 810,69 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 31 875,53 | 62,5 | 19 922,21 | +5 693,83 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 480 253,14 | 4 | 18 970 | +5 117,53 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | 25 113,16 | 70,5 | 17 704,78 | −948,66 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 18 933,7 | 92,5 | 17 513,67 | +2 317,3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 13 881,06 | 92,5 | 12 839,98 | +1 179,31 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 17 650,78 | 62,5 | 11 031,73 | +3 285,55 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 34 616,71 | 28,5 | 9 865,76 | −2 591,34 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 9 521 | 99,6 | 9 487,67 | +104,64 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | 12 042,91 | 78,5 | 9 453,68 | +299,75 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 9 478,92 | 96,8 | 9 180,33 | +107,58 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 8 916,37 | 94,5 | 8 425,97 | +1 889,24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 23 152,97 | 33,5 | 7 756,25 | −7 368,37 |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | 7 829,95 | 98,5 | 7 712,5 | +7,9 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 12 556,26 | 59,5 | 7 470,97 | +295,29 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 12 037,38 | 59,5 | 7 162,24 | +330 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6 666 | 99,8 | 6 656 | +1,12 |
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