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Nearby in the ranking: #610 btc-lu #611 0x411A2D42fefF12a2c800766120E1f146d6C1bC76-1730750767899 #612 almach #613 TealV #614 Nibiru2 #616 0x93C22116E4402C9332Ee6Db578050e688934C072-1766959058103 #617 noobsoup #618 0xf98DEc26318D00d7863746D6Aa2347691EE37ADb-1765930953808 #619 0xCb6Ed9332A8FD1b930893c705dd234f37aa248E6-1774405511911 #620 50Whence
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 40,368.95 | 84 | 33,909.92 | +19,857.16 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 10,360.99 | 91.5 | 9,480.31 | +2,528.95 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 7,822.8 | 86 | 6,727.61 | +3,172.9 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 8,061.43 | 70.5 | 5,683.31 | +2,357.11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 5,203.95 | 99.6 | 5,180.53 | +4,271.02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 7,156.62 | 70.5 | 5,045.42 | +4,439.7 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 14,602.18 | 14.5 | 2,117.32 | −146.84 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | 12,087.25 | 14.5 | 1,752.65 | −5,034.73 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 2,011.88 | 40.5 | 814.81 | +70.42 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 6,070.56 | 12.5 | 758.82 | −770.99 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | 5,000 | 5.5 | 275 | −1,162.81 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 1,178.67 | 17 | 200.37 | −11.79 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,000 | 14.5 | 145 | −217.45 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 107.35 | 95.1 | 102.09 | +68.5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | 38,255.38 | 0.2 | 95.64 | −4,220.07 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 519.76 | 17.5 | 90.96 | −152.75 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 2,000 | 4.4 | 87 | −44.08 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 360.79 | 11.4 | 41.31 | −3.93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | 39,393.25 | 0 | 19.7 | −5,178.16 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | 72.51 | 13 | 9.43 | −36.88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 3,406.68 | 0 | 1.7 | −815.9 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | 0.25 | 100 | 0.25 | +0.06 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | 0.11 | 100 | 0.11 | +0.09 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | 3,360.99 | 0 | 0 | −496.17 |
| Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | 37 | 0 | 0 | −5.55 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | 19,445.15 | 0 | 0 | −1,472.89 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | 4,111 | 0 | 0 | −131.55 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?No | 901.82 | 0 | 0 | −554.95 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | 92,825.1 | 0 | 0 | −11,290.5 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | −44 |
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