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Proches au classement: #609 btc-lu #610 0x411A2D42fefF12a2c800766120E1f146d6C1bC76-1730750767899 #611 almach #612 Nibiru2 #613 TealV #615 0x93C22116E4402C9332Ee6Db578050e688934C072-1766959058103 #616 noobsoup #617 0xf98DEc26318D00d7863746D6Aa2347691EE37ADb-1765930953808 #618 0xCb6Ed9332A8FD1b930893c705dd234f37aa248E6-1774405511911 #619 50Whence
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 40 368,95 | 84,5 | 34 111,76 | +20 059,01 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 10 360,99 | 91,5 | 9 480,31 | +2 528,95 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 7 822,8 | 86 | 6 727,61 | +3 172,9 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 8 061,43 | 70,5 | 5 683,31 | +2 357,11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 5 203,95 | 99,7 | 5 188,34 | +4 278,82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 7 156,62 | 70,5 | 5 045,42 | +4 439,7 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 14 602,18 | 14,5 | 2 117,32 | −146,84 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | 12 087,25 | 14,5 | 1 752,65 | −5 034,73 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 2 011,88 | 40,5 | 814,81 | +70,42 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 6 070,56 | 12,5 | 758,82 | −770,99 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | 5 000 | 5,5 | 275 | −1 162,81 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 1 178,67 | 17 | 200,37 | −11,79 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1 000 | 14,5 | 145 | −217,45 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 107,35 | 95,1 | 102,09 | +68,5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | 38 255,38 | 0,2 | 95,64 | −4 220,07 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 519,76 | 17,5 | 90,96 | −152,75 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 2 000 | 4,4 | 87 | −44,08 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 360,79 | 11,4 | 40,95 | −4,29 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | 39 393,25 | 0 | 19,7 | −5 178,16 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | 72,51 | 13 | 9,43 | −36,88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 3 406,68 | 0 | 1,7 | −815,9 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | 0,25 | 100 | 0,25 | +0,06 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | 0,11 | 100 | 0,11 | +0,09 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | 3 360,99 | 0 | 0 | −496,17 |
| Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | 37 | 0 | 0 | −5,55 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | 19 445,15 | 0 | 0 | −1 472,89 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | 4 111 | 0 | 0 | −131,55 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?No | 901,82 | 0 | 0 | −554,95 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | 92 825,1 | 0 | 0 | −11 290,5 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | −44 |
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