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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | 4.568,46 | 44 | 2.010,12 | −70,57 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | 6.653,81 | 27 | 1.796,53 | +184,08 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | 10.499,95 | 3,4 | 351,75 | −1.924,2 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | 1.540,81 | 16,5 | 254,23 | +55,25 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | 88,71 | 98,7 | 87,56 | +22,61 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 503,14 | 14 | 70,44 | −198,19 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | 248,22 | 15,5 | 38,47 | −75,71 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes | 105,09 | 0 | 0 | −2,24 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | 200 | 0 | 0 | −22 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 21.683,33 | 0 | 0 | −3.213,77 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | 5.211,56 | 0 | 0 | −386,7 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | 5.977,65 | 0 | 0 | −833,9 |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?Yes | 20 | 0 | 0 | −2,75 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes | 1.029,28 | 0 | 0 | −666,69 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes | 419,77 | 0 | 0 | −12,77 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 510 | 0 | 0 | −179,01 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No | 156 | 0 | 0 | −49,92 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | 83,38 | 0 | 0 | −22,42 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | 5.511,04 | 0 | 0 | −295,34 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | 3.025,89 | 0 | 0 | −367,21 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | 20,9 | 0 | 0 | −1,88 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Yes | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | −200 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | 891,99 | 0 | 0 | −44,04 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | 115 | 0 | 0 | −4,03 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | 10.537,44 | 0 | 0 | −461,04 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?Down | 1.285,4 | 0 | 0 | −420,57 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | 750,99 | 0 | 0 | −149,7 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | 550,86 | 0 | 0 | −153,24 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | 8.006,75 | 0 | 0 | −985,8 |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes | 1.943,93 | 0 | 0 | −395,24 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.