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Proches au classement: #519 HVAB #520 HerrieDavis #521 SaylorMoon #522 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a #523 razz #525 vd777bond #526 perincet555 #527 Scott8153 #528 0xa697d0b3FFf7D285a0F92d6Ee03a7f97809E59d5-1774326306031 #529 gaba4
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 734 337 | 79,2 | 581 962,07 | +214 793,57 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 734 337 | 20,8 | 152 374,93 | −214 793,57 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | 29 124,71 | 98,1 | 28 571,34 | +1 018,2 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 2 424,37 | 91,5 | 2 218,3 | −12,12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 4 000 | 3,4 | 134 | −626 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 139 941,02 | 0 | 69,97 | −15 352,51 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 28,75 | 86 | 24,73 | +8,22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 61 021,79 | 0 | 0 | −16 806,13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | 112 237,04 | 0 | 0 | −28 206,63 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | 1 167 196,96 | 0 | 0 | −98 967,8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | 723 628,72 | 0 | 0 | −22 587,35 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | 131 373,25 | 0 | 0 | −10 729,25 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | 61 284,62 | 0 | 0 | −7 966,63 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | 729,49 | 0 | 0 | −9,66 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | 49 352,45 | 0 | 0 | −9 114,01 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | 7 707,97 | 0 | 0 | −2 337,41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | 132 484,97 | 0 | 0 | −4 339,15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | 194 522,49 | 0 | 0 | −7 982,23 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | 8 499,98 | 0 | 0 | −376,3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | 36 327,73 | 0 | 0 | −314,53 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | 177 722,77 | 0 | 0 | −14 424,69 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | 606,93 | 0 | 0 | −106,6 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | 762,65 | 0 | 0 | −230,46 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | 34 152,63 | 0 | 0 | −1 872,28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | 147 189,28 | 0 | 0 | −10 730,69 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes | 11 746,45 | 0 | 0 | −306,93 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | 5 | 0 | 0 | −1,3 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | 2 431,87 | 0 | 0 | −106,91 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | 20 | 0 | 0 | −4,4 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | 46 085,57 | 0 | 0 | −4 374,35 |
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