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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 65 000 | 91 | 59 182,5 | +26 682,5 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 11 544,68 | 91,5 | 10 563,38 | +350,18 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 65 000 | 9 | 5 817,5 | −26 682,5 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Yes | 5 000 | 100 | 5 000 | +200 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | 4 197,13 | 91,4 | 3 834,08 | +383,49 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | 3 786,03 | 99,2 | 3 757,63 | +109,47 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | 2 048,68 | 98,7 | 2 022,05 | +57,15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 2 000 | 86,5 | 1 730 | +66,67 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | 1 469,53 | 97,4 | 1 431,32 | +5,88 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 1 822,09 | 77,5 | 1 412,12 | +88,34 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | 1 000 | 97,4 | 974,5 | +6,5 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | 1 000 | 94,5 | 945 | +20 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | 865,29 | 97 | 839,33 | +95,45 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | 785,52 | 97,8 | 768,63 | +15,07 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 752,76 | 78,5 | 590,92 | +5,9 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | 523,89 | 100 | 523,63 | +26,89 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?No | 374,48 | 100 | 374,48 | +4,99 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | 345,13 | 100 | 344,96 | +13,63 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | 266,5 | 97,6 | 259,97 | +17,38 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?No | 319,54 | 76,5 | 244,45 | −26,84 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | 243,91 | 98,3 | 239,76 | +6,34 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 288,15 | 79,4 | 228,94 | −26,37 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 203 | 100 | 202,9 | +12,94 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No | 153,77 | 98,2 | 150,93 | +11,87 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 143,05 | 100 | 142,98 | +4,23 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?No | 141,47 | 100 | 141,47 | +1,18 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | 118,18 | 99 | 117,05 | +13,35 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 167,61 | 68 | 113,97 | −11,08 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No | 131,99 | 63,6 | 83,95 | +13,58 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?No | 70 | 97,4 | 68,18 | +0,49 |
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