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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes | 131,38 | 12,1 | 15,9 | +4,95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?Yes | 50,32 | 22,4 | 11,3 | +6,72 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 462,19 | 1,8 | 8,55 | +0,44 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 600,000 and 650,000?Yes | 80,24 | 10,2 | 8,22 | −1,81 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 1.938,44 | 0,4 | 6,78 | −380,9 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 462,19 | 1,2 | 5,78 | −2,33 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election?Yes | 131,47 | 4 | 5,19 | −6,76 |
| Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Yes | 79 | 6,2 | 4,86 | +3,25 |
| Will Estonia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?Yes | 39,84 | 10,8 | 4,28 | −1,41 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 91,65 | 3,7 | 3,39 | +0,85 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 107,14 | 3,1 | 3,32 | −18,11 |
| Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | 65 | 4,8 | 3,12 | −0,94 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 260 | 1,2 | 3,12 | −6,88 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | 197,16 | 1,6 | 3,06 | −36,38 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 537,72 | 0,6 | 2,96 | −104,59 |
| Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | 60,28 | 4,8 | 2,92 | −7,12 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 520 | 0,6 | 2,86 | −17,14 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes | 27 | 10,6 | 2,85 | +0,39 |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes | 79 | 3,4 | 2,69 | +1,07 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 513,81 | 0,5 | 2,57 | −13,49 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 259,82 | 1 | 2,47 | −49,5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes | 50 | 4,9 | 2,45 | −1,4 |
| Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes | 171,45 | 1,4 | 2,4 | −31,89 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?Yes | 55 | 4,2 | 2,28 | −4,59 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 460 | 0,4 | 2,07 | −89,93 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 0%-10%?Yes | 60 | 3,4 | 2,04 | −2,58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 1?Yes | 31,16 | 6,2 | 1,93 | −0,9 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 520 | 0,4 | 1,82 | −18,18 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 520 | 0,4 | 1,82 | −18,18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 727 | 0,2 | 1,82 | −143,58 |
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