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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 70,000 | 50.4 | 35,315 | +315 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 70,000 | 49.6 | 34,685 | −315 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 18,515.67 | 91.5 | 16,941.84 | +380.87 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 27,521.34 | 33.5 | 9,219.65 | +917.52 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 5,403.55 | 91.5 | 4,944.25 | −27.02 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | 4,520.22 | 98 | 4,429.82 | +35.74 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 3,681.29 | 79.5 | 2,926.62 | +710.9 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 2,999.99 | 78.5 | 2,354.99 | +165 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 5,227.88 | 43.2 | 2,255.83 | +791.48 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?No | 2,052.82 | 99.4 | 2,039.48 | +409.11 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 2,501.88 | 77.5 | 1,938.96 | +45.97 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 2,074.65 | 86.5 | 1,794.57 | +279.84 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | 5,448.22 | 12.5 | 681.03 | −549.21 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 767.45 | 79 | 606.28 | +95.75 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 2,000 | 24.5 | 490 | −90 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 33,257.53 | 1.4 | 448.98 | −169.75 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | 502.42 | 86.5 | 434.59 | +58.36 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | 1,866.57 | 21.5 | 401.31 | −91.5 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 2,000 | 19.5 | 390 | −190 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 500 | 66.2 | 330.75 | −41.75 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 1,208.24 | 24.5 | 296.02 | −450.43 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 303 | 97.6 | 295.73 | +51.53 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 2,000 | 13.5 | 270 | +10 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 300 | 85 | 255 | +30 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 499.99 | 47.5 | 237.5 | −32.5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 487.74 | 48.5 | 236.55 | +75.6 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 457.15 | 49.5 | 226.29 | +112 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 4,543.5 | 4.9 | 222.63 | −194.47 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 500 | 40.5 | 202.5 | +27.5 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | 200 | 86 | 172 | +10 |
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