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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 263,603.23 | 74.5 | 196,384.41 | +37,740.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 15,288.44 | 32.5 | 4,968.74 | −1,603.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 3,585.94 | 46.5 | 1,667.46 | +778.19 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | 1,404.56 | 97.4 | 1,368.74 | +676.53 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 3,784.65 | 15.8 | 596.08 | +485.49 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 13,038.8 | 4.4 | 567.19 | −141.2 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 400.05 | 96.8 | 387.05 | +326.12 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | 1,362.81 | 2.6 | 34.75 | −237.81 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 4,307.91 | 0 | 2.15 | −125.39 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | 0.67 | 1.6 | 0.01 | −0.08 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | 164.19 | 0 | 0 | −11.49 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 314,857.18 | 0 | 0 | −48,886.73 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 30,167.13 | 0 | 0 | −477.52 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | −0.09 |
| Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | −0.11 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | 92 | 0 | 0 | −14.72 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 223,113.54 | 0 | 0 | −6,582.15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 1,970,445.11 | 0 | 0 | −9,514.68 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 89,988.99 | 0 | 0 | −1,885.63 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 6,798.08 | 0 | 0 | −58.37 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | 1,753.26 | 0 | 0 | −331.39 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | 1,570 | 0 | 0 | −166.49 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 200,000.01 | 0 | 0 | −1,600 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 687,837.86 | 0 | 0 | −5,646.34 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | 1,453.87 | 0 | 0 | −50.82 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 700,396.46 | 0 | 0 | −14,704.82 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 3,670.78 | 0 | 0 | −18.27 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | 173.41 | 0 | 0 | −110.83 |
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