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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 263 603,23 | 73,5 | 193 748,38 | +35 104,47 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 15 288,44 | 33,5 | 5 121,63 | −1 450,69 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 3 585,94 | 46,5 | 1 667,46 | +778,19 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | 1 404,56 | 97,4 | 1 368,04 | +675,83 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 13 038,8 | 4,4 | 580,23 | −128,16 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 3 784,65 | 11 | 416,31 | +305,72 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 400,05 | 96,8 | 387,05 | +326,12 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | 1 362,81 | 2,6 | 35,43 | −237,13 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 4 307,91 | 0 | 2,15 | −125,39 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | 0,67 | 1,6 | 0,01 | −0,08 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | 164,19 | 0 | 0 | −11,49 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 314 857,18 | 0 | 0 | −48 886,73 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 30 167,13 | 0 | 0 | −477,52 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | 0,66 | 0 | 0 | −0,09 |
| Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | 0,48 | 0 | 0 | −0,11 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | 92 | 0 | 0 | −14,72 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 223 113,54 | 0 | 0 | −6 582,15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 1 970 445,11 | 0 | 0 | −9 514,68 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 89 988,99 | 0 | 0 | −1 885,63 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | 6 798,08 | 0 | 0 | −58,37 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | 1 753,26 | 0 | 0 | −331,39 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | 1 570 | 0 | 0 | −166,49 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 200 000,01 | 0 | 0 | −1 600 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 687 837,86 | 0 | 0 | −5 646,34 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | 1 453,87 | 0 | 0 | −50,82 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | 700 396,46 | 0 | 0 | −14 704,82 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 3 670,78 | 0 | 0 | −18,27 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | 173,41 | 0 | 0 | −110,83 |
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