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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | 10,999.5 | 16.5 | 1,814.92 | −512.47 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 3,500.22 | 46.5 | 1,627.6 | +514 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 3,970.91 | 39.5 | 1,568.51 | +135.72 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | 2,203.09 | 59 | 1,299.82 | +95.67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2,600.47 | 40.8 | 1,062.29 | +29.7 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No | 1,858.2 | 54.5 | 1,012.72 | +127.66 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 3,000.01 | 33.5 | 1,005 | −254.99 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 1,500.01 | 62 | 930 | +45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 1,199.91 | 71.5 | 857.94 | +64.06 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 4,019.76 | 18.5 | 743.65 | −138.85 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 1,205.2 | 57.5 | 692.99 | −12.87 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?No | 888.37 | 65 | 577.44 | +99.08 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | 6,216.94 | 8.5 | 528.44 | −1,137.39 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 2,637.18 | 19.5 | 514.25 | −20.46 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1,065.34 | 41 | 436.79 | +8.02 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 1,441.41 | 29.5 | 425.22 | −108.58 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | 991.31 | 41.5 | 411.39 | −2.76 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3,000.23 | 13.5 | 405.03 | −118.87 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1,500 | 26.5 | 397.5 | +7.5 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 1,000 | 39.5 | 395 | +5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 599.75 | 61.5 | 368.85 | +12.86 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes | 9,676.17 | 3.8 | 367.69 | −24.28 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 699.64 | 43.5 | 304.34 | −48.04 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | 447.31 | 66 | 295.22 | +76.68 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | 1,500 | 19.5 | 292.5 | −52.5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1,431.37 | 19.5 | 279.12 | +39.82 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | 1,000 | 27.5 | 275 | −38.57 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No | 347.67 | 78.5 | 272.92 | +44.85 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?No | 303.46 | 89.5 | 271.6 | +44.43 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 910.17 | 28.5 | 259.4 | −50.79 |
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