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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | 10.999,5 | 16,5 | 1.814,92 | −512,47 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 3.500,22 | 46,5 | 1.627,6 | +514 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 3.970,91 | 39,5 | 1.568,51 | +135,72 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | 2.203,09 | 58,5 | 1.288,81 | +84,66 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2.600,47 | 41 | 1.064,89 | +32,3 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No | 1.858,2 | 54,5 | 1.012,72 | +127,66 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.000,01 | 33,5 | 1.005 | −254,99 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 1.500,01 | 62 | 930 | +45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 1.199,91 | 71,5 | 857,94 | +64,06 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 4.019,76 | 18,5 | 743,65 | −138,85 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 1.205,2 | 57 | 686,96 | −18,9 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?No | 888,37 | 64,5 | 573 | +94,64 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | 6.216,94 | 8,5 | 528,44 | −1.137,39 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 2.637,18 | 19,5 | 514,25 | −20,46 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1.065,34 | 41 | 436,79 | +8,02 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 1.441,41 | 29,5 | 425,22 | −108,58 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | 991,31 | 41,5 | 411,39 | −2,76 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3.000,23 | 13,5 | 405,03 | −118,87 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 1.500 | 26,5 | 397,5 | +7,5 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 1.000 | 39,5 | 395 | +5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 599,75 | 61,5 | 368,85 | +12,86 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes | 9.676,17 | 3,8 | 367,69 | −24,28 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 699,64 | 43,5 | 304,34 | −48,04 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | 447,31 | 66,5 | 297,46 | +78,91 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | 1.500 | 19,5 | 292,5 | −52,5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1.431,37 | 19,5 | 279,12 | +39,82 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No | 347,67 | 79,5 | 276,4 | +48,33 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | 1.000 | 27,5 | 275 | −38,57 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?No | 303,46 | 89,5 | 271,6 | +44,43 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 910,17 | 28,5 | 259,4 | −50,79 |
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