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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 12,216.49 | 87.5 | 10,689.43 | +489.53 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 4,986.83 | 86.5 | 4,313.61 | +16.21 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | 4,000 | 93.5 | 3,740 | +60 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3,545.09 | 84.5 | 2,995.6 | +12.13 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3,235.99 | 84.5 | 2,734.41 | +62.67 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 1,300 | 90.5 | 1,176.5 | +48.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 3,339.84 | 28.5 | 951.85 | −484.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 24,076.02 | 3.4 | 818.58 | −805.97 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 6,000 | 11.5 | 690 | −450 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 728.17 | 92.5 | 673.56 | +261.85 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2,118.22 | 31 | 656.65 | −52.18 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 1,498.92 | 40.8 | 612.31 | +19.46 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 2,112.31 | 21 | 443.59 | +21.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 479.97 | 79.5 | 381.58 | +36 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2,413.04 | 13.5 | 325.76 | −232.14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 3,000 | 10.5 | 315 | −75 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 276.55 | 83 | 229.54 | +6.26 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 200 | 86 | 172 | +72 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 1,120.25 | 14.5 | 162.44 | −49.72 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 1,379.06 | 11.4 | 156.52 | +18.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No | 420.3 | 26 | 109.28 | −11.91 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 98.81 | 96.2 | 95.06 | +39.29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 102,000 | 0 | 51 | −1,114.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | 26,383.37 | 0.2 | 39.58 | −3,763.83 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | 3,838.67 | 1 | 36.47 | −2,565.33 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | 197.66 | 14 | 27.67 | −90.8 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | 16,785.19 | 0.2 | 25.18 | −681.14 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | 160.8 | 13.6 | 21.79 | −80.41 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | 219.6 | 9.5 | 20.86 | +1.1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 20.7 | 95.4 | 19.76 | +7.35 |
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