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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 12 216,49 | 87,5 | 10 689,43 | +489,53 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 4 986,83 | 86,5 | 4 313,61 | +16,21 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | 4 000 | 93,5 | 3 740 | +60 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3 545,09 | 84,5 | 2 995,6 | +12,13 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3 235,99 | 84,5 | 2 734,41 | +62,67 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 1 300 | 90,5 | 1 176,5 | +48,56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 3 339,84 | 29,5 | 985,25 | −450,79 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 24 076,02 | 3,4 | 806,55 | −818,01 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 6 000 | 11,5 | 690 | −450 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 728,17 | 92,5 | 673,56 | +261,85 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2 118,22 | 29,5 | 624,87 | −83,95 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 1 498,92 | 41,2 | 616,81 | +23,96 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 2 112,31 | 20,5 | 433,02 | +10,56 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 479,97 | 79,5 | 381,58 | +36 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2 413,04 | 14,5 | 349,89 | −208,01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 3 000 | 10,5 | 315 | −75 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 276,55 | 83,5 | 230,92 | +7,64 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 200 | 86 | 172 | +72 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 1 120,25 | 14,5 | 162,44 | −49,72 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 1 379,06 | 11,4 | 156,52 | +18,65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No | 420,3 | 26 | 109,28 | −11,91 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 98,81 | 96,2 | 95,06 | +39,29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | 26 383,37 | 0,3 | 79,15 | −3 724,25 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | 3 838,67 | 1,6 | 61,42 | −2 540,38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | 102 000 | 0 | 51 | −1 114,04 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | 197,66 | 14 | 27,67 | −90,8 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | 16 785,19 | 0,2 | 25,18 | −681,14 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | 160,8 | 13,5 | 21,71 | −80,49 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | 219,6 | 9,5 | 20,86 | +1,1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 20,7 | 95,4 | 19,76 | +7,35 |
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