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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 2.898,07 | 95,5 | 2.767,65 | +2.664,15 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3.223,32 | 79,5 | 2.562,54 | −110,11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4.041,46 | 63,2 | 2.556,22 | +2.429,93 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 2.124,2 | 96,9 | 2.058,35 | +1.894,95 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | 2.168,53 | 92,5 | 2.005,89 | +2.005,89 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | 1.881,66 | 91,2 | 1.715,13 | +1.656,33 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No | 1.845,58 | 86,5 | 1.596,43 | +23,1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 1.936,12 | 78,5 | 1.519,85 | +45,89 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 2.560,2 | 58,5 | 1.497,72 | +16,58 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | 2.177,94 | 62,5 | 1.361,21 | +1.280,55 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4.614,94 | 29,2 | 1.349,87 | +1.205,65 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 1.391,86 | 95,6 | 1.329,92 | +1.298,99 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 1.312,61 | 100 | 1.311,95 | +1,97 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | 1.361,33 | 90,5 | 1.232 | −6,76 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 2.853,8 | 41,8 | 1.191,46 | +1.159,4 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | 1.855,36 | 57,5 | 1.066,83 | −39,34 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 7.117,08 | 14,7 | 1.046,21 | +792,03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 2.438,33 | 41,5 | 1.011,91 | +229,31 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 1.243,06 | 79,5 | 988,24 | +957,16 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | 965,35 | 100 | 964,87 | +138,71 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 1.107,53 | 85 | 941,4 | +36 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.792,17 | 24,5 | 929,08 | +170,65 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 1.885,8 | 48,2 | 909,9 | +842,55 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1.612 | 55,5 | 894,66 | +832,66 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2.322,18 | 36,5 | 847,6 | +775,03 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 988,43 | 83 | 820,4 | +622,71 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 806,1 | 98 | 790,38 | +86,53 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2.341,67 | 33 | 773,92 | +700,75 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes | 1.072,93 | 70,5 | 756,42 | +488,18 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No | 829,54 | 89,5 | 742,44 | +200,85 |
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