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Proches au classement: #260 SlavaUkraini #261 Alhambra1 #262 mr.ozi #263 supersportsbro #264 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F #266 TL307 #267 pingan123 #268 piastri #269 distinct-baguette #270 stubblyballs
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 2 898,07 | 95,5 | 2 767,65 | +2 664,15 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3 223,32 | 79,5 | 2 562,54 | −110,11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4 041,46 | 63,2 | 2 556,22 | +2 429,93 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 2 124,2 | 96,9 | 2 058,35 | +1 894,95 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | 2 168,53 | 92,5 | 2 005,89 | +2 005,89 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | 1 881,66 | 91,2 | 1 715,13 | +1 656,33 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No | 1 845,58 | 86,5 | 1 596,43 | +23,1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | 1 936,12 | 78,5 | 1 519,85 | +45,89 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 2 560,2 | 58,5 | 1 497,72 | +16,58 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | 2 177,94 | 62,5 | 1 361,21 | +1 280,55 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 4 614,94 | 29,2 | 1 349,87 | +1 205,65 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 1 391,86 | 95,6 | 1 329,92 | +1 298,99 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 1 312,61 | 100 | 1 311,95 | +1,97 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | 1 361,33 | 90,5 | 1 232 | −6,76 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 2 853,8 | 41,8 | 1 191,46 | +1 159,4 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | 1 855,36 | 57,5 | 1 066,83 | −39,34 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 7 117,08 | 14,7 | 1 046,21 | +792,03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | 2 438,33 | 41,5 | 1 011,91 | +229,31 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 1 243,06 | 79,5 | 988,24 | +957,16 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | 965,35 | 100 | 964,87 | +138,71 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 1 107,53 | 85 | 941,4 | +36 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3 792,17 | 24,5 | 929,08 | +170,65 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 1 885,8 | 48,2 | 909,9 | +842,55 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1 612 | 55,5 | 894,66 | +832,66 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2 322,18 | 36,5 | 847,6 | +775,03 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 988,43 | 83 | 820,4 | +622,71 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | 806,1 | 98 | 790,38 | +86,53 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2 341,67 | 33 | 773,92 | +700,75 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes | 1 072,93 | 70,5 | 756,42 | +488,18 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No | 829,54 | 89,5 | 742,44 | +200,85 |
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