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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 5 990 | 91,5 | 5 480,85 | +789,26 |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No | 4 879,92 | 98,1 | 4 787,2 | +640,05 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 4 733,71 | 95,1 | 4 501,76 | +1 726,21 |
| Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | 3 183,16 | 97,4 | 3 098,81 | +2 343,14 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3 403 | 81,8 | 2 781,95 | +319,83 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | 3 255,46 | 83,5 | 2 718,31 | +521,21 |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?No | 2 526,84 | 90,5 | 2 286,79 | +274,84 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?No | 2 356,54 | 94,6 | 2 230,46 | +247,62 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2 986,23 | 69,5 | 2 075,43 | −18,9 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 2 157,57 | 94,9 | 2 047,54 | +120,87 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | 8 115,83 | 23,4 | 1 903,16 | +1 627,31 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?No | 2 006,38 | 94,5 | 1 896,03 | +398,39 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?No | 1 638,86 | 95,3 | 1 561,83 | +425,48 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1 699,11 | 91,5 | 1 554,69 | +303,98 |
| America.gov removed by October 31?No | 1 213,14 | 97,2 | 1 178,57 | +57,49 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?No | 1 187,65 | 94,6 | 1 123,51 | +239,55 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No | 1 210,6 | 88,5 | 1 071,39 | +137,63 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | 1 079,59 | 97,6 | 1 053,68 | +450,19 |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?No | 1 161,98 | 85 | 987,68 | +171,2 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 1 996,07 | 49 | 978,07 | +233,7 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6 688,47 | 14,5 | 969,83 | −540,3 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | 1 105,14 | 85,5 | 944,9 | +223,18 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?No | 4 282,36 | 21,4 | 916,42 | +548,02 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | 1 452,68 | 57,5 | 835,29 | +41,06 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 1 594,37 | 50,5 | 805,16 | +24,43 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3 502,25 | 22,5 | 788,01 | +224,72 |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 902,65 | 83 | 749,2 | +61,14 |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | 823,78 | 89,5 | 737,28 | +99,38 |
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | 770,49 | 93,8 | 722,72 | +344,34 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?No | 693,09 | 97,2 | 673,34 | +107,83 |
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