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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 5.990 | 91,5 | 5.480,85 | +789,26 |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No | 4.879,92 | 98,2 | 4.792,08 | +644,93 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 4.733,71 | 95,1 | 4.501,76 | +1.726,21 |
| Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?No | 3.788,24 | 99,6 | 3.774,98 | +407,1 |
| Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | 3.183,16 | 98,6 | 3.138,6 | +2.382,93 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3.403 | 81,8 | 2.785,35 | +323,23 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | 3.255,46 | 83,5 | 2.718,31 | +521,21 |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?No | 2.526,84 | 89,5 | 2.261,52 | +249,57 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?No | 2.356,54 | 94,8 | 2.232,82 | +249,98 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 2.986,23 | 68,5 | 2.045,57 | −48,76 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 2.157,57 | 94 | 2.029,2 | +102,53 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | 8.115,83 | 23,4 | 1.899,1 | +1.623,26 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?No | 2.006,38 | 94,5 | 1.896,03 | +398,39 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?No | 1.638,86 | 95,6 | 1.565,93 | +429,58 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 1.699,11 | 91,5 | 1.554,69 | +303,98 |
| Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?No | 1.355,56 | 99,2 | 1.344,04 | +241,42 |
| America.gov removed by October 31?No | 1.213,14 | 97,2 | 1.178,57 | +57,49 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?No | 1.187,65 | 94,2 | 1.118,17 | +234,2 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No | 1.210,6 | 88,5 | 1.071,39 | +137,63 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | 1.079,59 | 97,6 | 1.053,14 | +449,65 |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?No | 1.161,98 | 87,5 | 1.016,73 | +200,25 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 1.996,07 | 49 | 978,07 | +233,7 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6.688,47 | 14,5 | 969,83 | −540,3 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | 1.105,14 | 85,5 | 944,9 | +223,18 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 1.594,37 | 56,5 | 900,82 | +120,09 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?No | 4.282,36 | 19,8 | 845,77 | +477,36 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | 1.452,68 | 57,5 | 835,29 | +41,06 |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 902,65 | 87,5 | 789,82 | +101,76 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3.502,25 | 22,5 | 788,01 | +224,72 |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | 823,78 | 89,5 | 737,28 | +99,38 |
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