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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 7,999.69 | 83.5 | 6,679.74 | +541.39 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | 6,999.88 | 89.5 | 6,264.89 | +337.67 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 10,000.1 | 62.5 | 6,250.06 | −50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 5,999.75 | 95.4 | 5,726.76 | +819.2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 5,000 | 93.5 | 4,675 | +225 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 2,999.92 | 79.5 | 2,384.94 | +715.65 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes | 2,235.68 | 98.4 | 2,201.03 | +112.84 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 2,052.73 | 92.5 | 1,898.78 | +129.44 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 2,000 | 88.5 | 1,770 | +130 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?Yes | 1,305.17 | 98.6 | 1,287.55 | +54.43 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 2,000.01 | 62.5 | 1,250 | +145 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 1,999.99 | 48 | 961 | −133.05 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Yes | 933.3 | 98.8 | 921.63 | +63.6 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes | 818.14 | 99.2 | 811.19 | +46.23 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 1,000 | 79.5 | 795 | +35 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?Yes | 763.95 | 99 | 756.31 | +42.15 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?Yes | 721.83 | 98.8 | 713.17 | +33.98 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?Yes | 660.24 | 98.9 | 652.98 | +31.77 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 2,000 | 32.5 | 650 | +70 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes | 547.86 | 97.9 | 536.35 | +19.75 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No | 500.49 | 96.4 | 482.48 | +60.09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 1,000.09 | 45.5 | 455.04 | +162.34 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes | 300.28 | 99 | 297.28 | +14.21 |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No | 260.21 | 83.5 | 217.27 | +41.18 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 460.06 | 29.5 | 135.72 | −2.3 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes | 2,441.16 | 4.5 | 109.85 | −291.57 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | 3,276.95 | 3.3 | 108.14 | −493.56 |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes | 332 | 15.5 | 51.46 | −6.98 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | 15.01 | 91.5 | 13.73 | +2.33 |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula | 122.47 | 10.5 | 12.86 | −7.95 |
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