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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | 14,126.35 | 87.8 | 12,410 | +8,958.45 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 6,158.97 | 99.4 | 6,118.94 | +300.27 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | 9,999.84 | 55.2 | 5,514.91 | +365.11 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 8,999.82 | 49.5 | 4,454.91 | +609.21 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 14,999.8 | 19.5 | 2,924.96 | −217.19 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | 4,904.58 | 33.5 | 1,643.03 | −586.68 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | 14,649.19 | 11 | 1,611.41 | +113.97 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 15,000.44 | 9.2 | 1,372.54 | −4.49 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 6,506 | 19 | 1,236.14 | −229.22 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?No | 20,000.13 | 5.1 | 1,020.01 | −745.79 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6,999.96 | 14.5 | 1,014.99 | −1,534.94 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2,500 | 34 | 850 | +575 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | 26,909.58 | 3.2 | 847.65 | −1,887.38 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes | 1,792.86 | 45.5 | 815.75 | +29.12 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?No | 2,543.92 | 28.6 | 726.29 | +112.01 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | 2,294.48 | 29 | 665.4 | +49.54 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No | 734.02 | 89.5 | 656.95 | +10.8 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | 1,587.82 | 38 | 603.37 | −182.89 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | 1,177.63 | 45.5 | 535.82 | +40.64 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | 5,855.3 | 8.6 | 506.48 | −711.03 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 10,000 | 4.9 | 490 | −1,854.99 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?No | 2,304.15 | 20.5 | 472.35 | −151.87 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | 839.16 | 55.5 | 465.73 | +3.76 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 11,666.87 | 4 | 460.84 | +115.47 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 974.83 | 44 | 428.92 | +87.74 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?No | 870.13 | 39.9 | 347.18 | +143.37 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 1,750.11 | 19.5 | 341.27 | +3.05 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | 1,185.98 | 28.5 | 338 | +7.76 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3,999.97 | 7.5 | 300 | −239.99 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?No | 3,000 | 8.9 | 267 | +126.51 |
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