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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 30.331,99 | 96,6 | 29.315,87 | +4.405,08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 26.544,71 | 79,2 | 21.036,69 | +6.368,82 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | 20.329,87 | 96,4 | 19.587,83 | +2.954,34 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No | 15.043,46 | 98 | 14.742,59 | +12.312,73 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 12.781,86 | 97,8 | 12.500,66 | +2.110,07 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 11.889,23 | 96,8 | 11.502,83 | +8.995,19 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | 11.187,67 | 98 | 10.963,92 | +1.363,46 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | 8.167,45 | 99 | 8.089,86 | +1.150,36 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | 8.164,47 | 97,4 | 7.952,19 | +5.832,47 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 8.005,53 | 98,6 | 7.897,45 | +1.271,68 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 37.472,6 | 20,8 | 7.775,56 | −5.985,27 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | 5.863,57 | 100 | 5.863,57 | +789,03 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 8.362,8 | 68,5 | 5.728,52 | +701,35 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | 5.878,99 | 96,8 | 5.693,8 | +435,87 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No | 5.548,12 | 98,2 | 5.451,03 | +1.891,04 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | 5.131,96 | 97,3 | 4.993,4 | +445,85 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | 4.468,01 | 100 | 4.465,78 | +310,53 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 4.693,87 | 92,4 | 4.334,79 | +490,27 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 3.710,92 | 100 | 3.709,07 | +189,13 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No | 3.751,58 | 94,5 | 3.545,24 | +1.332,02 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | 3.420 | 96,2 | 3.291,75 | +25,72 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | 3.303,79 | 99,2 | 3.279,01 | +49,89 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | 3.680,95 | 88,5 | 3.257,64 | −55,21 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 3.322,69 | 95,6 | 3.174,83 | +2.724,42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 9.843,94 | 28,5 | 2.805,52 | −483,12 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 3.077,03 | 86,8 | 2.672,4 | −221,73 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 2.701,54 | 96,8 | 2.616,44 | +51,13 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 2.527,23 | 100 | 2.527,23 | +2.205,09 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | 5.008,86 | 49,5 | 2.479,39 | +1.383,97 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | 4.770 | 50 | 2.385 | +259,2 |
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