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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2.835,38 | 41,8 | 1.186,61 | −3,37 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?No | 1.090,22 | 97 | 1.058,06 | +12,47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 5.827,63 | 13,5 | 786,73 | −30,26 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 1.191,29 | 59 | 702,86 | +13,61 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.028,44 | 42 | 431,95 | +8,53 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 437,13 | 75,5 | 330,03 | +38,68 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 279,93 | 100 | 279,79 | +1,86 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 576,77 | 45 | 259,54 | +49,07 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 667,52 | 34,5 | 230,29 | −6,82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 1.844,11 | 8,5 | 156,75 | −3,27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 5.170 | 2,8 | 147,34 | −8,37 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 443,65 | 23,5 | 104,26 | −3,9 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 133,75 | 66,5 | 88,94 | −21,04 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | 437,41 | 18 | 78,73 | −16,11 |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes | 72,05 | 87,5 | 63,04 | +13,32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | 50,3 | 99,8 | 50,23 | +0,23 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | 50,2 | 100 | 50,18 | +0,18 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 79,36 | 62,5 | 49,6 | −0,4 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?No | 63,29 | 70 | 44,34 | +4,34 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No | 450 | 9,5 | 42,75 | +4,05 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | 58,78 | 67 | 39,38 | −2,94 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 67,79 | 57,5 | 38,98 | +1,64 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | 92,95 | 40,5 | 37,65 | +1,57 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No | 71 | 38,8 | 27,55 | +10,81 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 30,08 | 76 | 22,86 | +7,88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 205 | 10,5 | 21,52 | −1,03 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | 1.178,89 | 1,6 | 19,45 | −3,2 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 250 | 6,5 | 16,25 | +1,25 |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Yes | 156,45 | 9,5 | 14,86 | −23,55 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 45 | 30,5 | 13,73 | +2,61 |
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