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Proches au classement: #844 molmol2 #845 CongMingLabs #846 roberto73 #847 Nuriols65Cuba #848 Inferior-Overclocking #850 KING-VIP23 #851 Frosen #852 ANudeEgg #853 HibernatingParasite #854 0xb0E43B885657a33B347A4af1D05Bd5f3c3A7E99
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 11 619,96 | 85 | 9 876,96 | +1 825,18 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 9 186,97 | 80,5 | 7 395,51 | +1 872,23 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 7 129,06 | 100 | 7 125,49 | +518,33 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 11 355,31 | 60,5 | 6 869,96 | +319,79 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 9 309,12 | 72,5 | 6 749,11 | +249,11 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 6 424,06 | 100 | 6 420,85 | +689,23 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 5 120,98 | 100 | 5 120,98 | +459,59 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 10 472,76 | 40,8 | 4 267,65 | +289,35 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 4 784,66 | 88,5 | 4 234,43 | +116,89 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 5 490,39 | 58 | 3 184,43 | −115,57 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 2 979,52 | 99,4 | 2 963,13 | +160,71 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | 2 857,44 | 100 | 2 856,01 | +593,47 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 2 630,87 | 100 | 2 629,56 | +448,88 |
| Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | 3 616,38 | 68,5 | 2 477,22 | +91,88 |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes | 2 888,93 | 81,5 | 2 354,48 | +31,52 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No | 2 097 | 93,5 | 1 960,69 | +56,59 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 1 830,85 | 100 | 1 829,93 | +144,94 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?No | 1 806,97 | 99 | 1 788,9 | +299,93 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | 2 201,71 | 78,2 | 1 720,64 | +1 249,47 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | 2 300,49 | 72,5 | 1 667,86 | +167,86 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | 3 397 | 47 | 1 596,59 | −603,43 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | 10 732,5 | 14,5 | 1 556,21 | −142,02 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | 5 590,38 | 26,5 | 1 481,45 | +80,63 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | 2 495,48 | 58,6 | 1 463,6 | +1 220,81 |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | 1 407,85 | 94,5 | 1 330,42 | +201,72 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 1 656,56 | 79,5 | 1 316,96 | +91,11 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 1 358,47 | 95,7 | 1 300,05 | +0,06 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | 2 048,39 | 61,5 | 1 259,76 | +79,4 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | 1 178,58 | 96 | 1 131,44 | +106,07 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | 5 277,67 | 21 | 1 108,31 | −1 344,53 |
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