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Perto no ranking: #844 molmol2 #845 CongMingLabs #846 roberto73 #847 Nuriols65Cuba #848 Inferior-Overclocking #850 KING-VIP23 #851 Frosen #852 ANudeEgg #853 HibernatingParasite #854 0xb0E43B885657a33B347A4af1D05Bd5f3c3A7E99
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 11.619,96 | 85 | 9.876,96 | +1.825,18 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 9.186,97 | 80,5 | 7.395,51 | +1.872,23 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 7.129,06 | 99,7 | 7.107,67 | +500,5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 11.355,31 | 60,5 | 6.869,96 | +319,79 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 9.309,12 | 71,5 | 6.656,02 | +156,02 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 6.424,06 | 100 | 6.420,85 | +689,23 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 5.120,98 | 100 | 5.120,98 | +459,59 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 10.472,76 | 40,9 | 4.283,36 | +305,06 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 4.784,66 | 88,5 | 4.234,43 | +116,89 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 5.490,39 | 57,5 | 3.156,97 | −143,02 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | 2.979,52 | 99,4 | 2.961,64 | +159,22 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | 2.857,44 | 99,7 | 2.848,86 | +586,33 |
| Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | 3.616,38 | 74 | 2.676,12 | +290,78 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | 2.630,87 | 99,2 | 2.609,83 | +429,15 |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes | 2.888,93 | 81,5 | 2.354,48 | +31,52 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No | 2.097 | 93,5 | 1.960,69 | +56,59 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 1.830,85 | 100 | 1.829,93 | +144,94 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?No | 1.806,97 | 99,4 | 1.796,12 | +307,15 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | 2.201,71 | 78,2 | 1.720,64 | +1.249,47 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | 3.397 | 47 | 1.596,59 | −603,43 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | 2.300,49 | 68,5 | 1.575,84 | +75,84 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | 10.732,5 | 14,5 | 1.556,21 | −142,02 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | 2.495,48 | 61,4 | 1.533,47 | +1.290,68 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | 5.590,38 | 26,5 | 1.481,45 | +80,63 |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | 1.407,85 | 94,9 | 1.336,05 | +207,35 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 1.656,56 | 79,5 | 1.316,96 | +91,11 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 1.358,47 | 95,7 | 1.300,05 | +0,06 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | 2.048,39 | 61,5 | 1.259,76 | +79,4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No | 4.622,06 | 26,5 | 1.224,84 | −75,15 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | 5.277,67 | 22 | 1.161,09 | −1.291,76 |
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