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Perto no ranking: #221 nfl25 #222 tradecraft #223 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 #224 0x1979ae6B7E6534dE9c4539D0c205E582cA637C9D-1769439463256 #225 shtringo #227 flydartball #228 Countrysid #229 Flaznorp #230 hioa #231 ReaLJamesWynn
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 207.499,46 | 79,5 | 164.962,07 | +103.021,61 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 72.276,98 | 62,5 | 45.173,11 | +19.363,71 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 70.000 | 50,4 | 35.315 | +315 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 70.000 | 49,6 | 34.685 | −315 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | 159.436,93 | 17 | 27.104,28 | −4.537,26 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 69.884,38 | 38,5 | 26.905,49 | +9.421,58 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 26.361,06 | 62,5 | 16.475,66 | +3.144,84 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 21.650,63 | 62,5 | 13.531,64 | +3.792,13 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 20.576,36 | 62,5 | 12.860,23 | +3.393,19 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 13.292,86 | 86 | 11.431,86 | +6.449,72 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 17.847,75 | 62,4 | 11.145,92 | +4.998,32 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | 9.999,94 | 100 | 9.994,94 | +894,99 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 63.965,04 | 13,2 | 8.411,4 | +4.474,57 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | 47.305,06 | 17,5 | 8.278,39 | −1.925,32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 96.142,78 | 7,5 | 7.210,71 | −3.284,62 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 817.184,49 | 0,8 | 6.946,07 | −161,05 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 195.828,98 | 3,2 | 6.168,61 | −5.144,66 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 15.072,54 | 33,5 | 5.049,3 | +1.311,1 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 4.951,52 | 96,2 | 4.763,36 | +1.239,31 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 4.999,98 | 85,5 | 4.274,99 | +1.033,34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 38.309,96 | 10,5 | 4.022,55 | −1.172,02 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 32.850,31 | 11,4 | 3.728,51 | −312,93 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 4.080,25 | 82,5 | 3.366,21 | +606,35 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 7.394,45 | 40,9 | 3.024,33 | +1.435,43 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 4.577,33 | 58,5 | 2.677,74 | +358,23 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | 2.500 | 100 | 2.498,75 | +348,75 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No | 8.001,84 | 30,5 | 2.440,56 | +99,07 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 2.500,01 | 96,8 | 2.418,76 | +568,04 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 8.450,48 | 28,5 | 2.408,39 | +338,18 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 10.242,19 | 22,8 | 2.340,34 | +334,34 |
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