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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 25 016,64 | 72,5 | 18 137,06 | +1 307,07 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 42 501,76 | 41,5 | 17 638,23 | −1 683,1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 20 507,04 | 82,5 | 16 918,31 | +2 071,7 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 21 664,76 | 74 | 16 031,93 | +4 435,69 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 19 382,99 | 80 | 15 506,39 | +674,37 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 14 363,86 | 76,6 | 11 002,72 | −858,73 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 11 483,23 | 79,5 | 9 129,16 | +87,08 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 8 531,46 | 89,5 | 7 635,66 | +1 749,9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 5 219 | 91 | 4 749,29 | +724,67 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 10 016,6 | 41,5 | 4 156,89 | −65,98 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 4 704,46 | 84 | 3 951,75 | −30,48 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 11 076,04 | 23 | 2 547,49 | −395,96 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 14 280,29 | 16,5 | 2 356,25 | +521,76 |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 2 500,58 | 89,5 | 2 238,02 | +164,43 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 2 536 | 65,5 | 1 661,08 | +30,83 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 3 610 | 40,6 | 1 467,46 | +0,94 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1 440,47 | 80,5 | 1 159,58 | +55,83 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | 1 321,68 | 82 | 1 083,78 | +105,73 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1 007,66 | 80,5 | 811,16 | +75,57 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 755,12 | 84,5 | 638,08 | +114,45 |
| Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 384,48 | 75 | 288,36 | +1,72 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 352 | 67,5 | 237,6 | −18,96 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | 311,43 | 74,5 | 232,02 | +10,9 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 140 | 88,8 | 124,32 | +10,92 |
| Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 150,99 | 77,5 | 117,02 | +22,69 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?No | 1 938,98 | 6 | 116,34 | −34,37 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 123,28 | 87 | 107,26 | +7,4 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 47 | 100 | 46,98 | +3,26 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 50,08 | 93,5 | 46,82 | +3,76 |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 44 | 95,8 | 42,17 | +5,01 |
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