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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 25.016,64 | 71,5 | 17.886,9 | +1.056,9 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 42.501,76 | 41,5 | 17.638,23 | −1.683,1 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 22.820,66 | 77,2 | 17.606,14 | −1.238,79 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 20.507,04 | 82,5 | 16.918,31 | +2.071,7 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 21.664,76 | 72 | 15.598,63 | +4.002,39 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 19.382,99 | 79,5 | 15.409,47 | +577,46 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 11.483,23 | 79,5 | 9.129,16 | +87,08 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 10.179,97 | 86 | 8.754,77 | +1.731,72 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 5.219 | 88,5 | 4.618,81 | +594,2 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 10.016,6 | 41,5 | 4.156,89 | −65,98 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 4.704,46 | 84 | 3.951,75 | −30,48 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 11.076,04 | 23 | 2.547,49 | −395,96 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 14.280,29 | 16,5 | 2.356,25 | +521,76 |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 2.500,58 | 87,8 | 2.196,76 | +123,17 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | 2.536 | 67 | 1.699,12 | +68,87 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 3.610 | 40,9 | 1.476,49 | +9,96 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1.440,47 | 80,5 | 1.159,58 | +55,83 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | 1.321,68 | 82 | 1.083,78 | +105,73 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 1.007,66 | 80,5 | 811,16 | +75,57 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 755,12 | 84,5 | 638,08 | +114,45 |
| Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 384,48 | 75 | 288,36 | +1,72 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 352 | 68,5 | 241,12 | −15,44 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | 311,43 | 74,5 | 232,02 | +10,9 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 140 | 89 | 124,6 | +11,2 |
| Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 150,99 | 78,5 | 118,53 | +24,2 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?No | 1.938,98 | 6 | 116,34 | −34,37 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 123,28 | 87,5 | 107,87 | +8,01 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 47 | 100 | 46,98 | +3,26 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 50,08 | 92,5 | 46,32 | +3,26 |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | 44 | 95,6 | 42,09 | +4,93 |
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