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Nearby in the ranking: #356 0xb5fc4d5388952dc7a798fe784fe659f9a20e5ca4 #357 operationcastle #358 Chia #359 Severe-Watch #360 KimballDavies #362 monchi #363 0x1d0034134e #364 0x066423fcbd2e38a7b5f4ba813eb447b823c91f #365 GoriIIa #366 SlotinCap
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | 83,352.82 | 96.2 | 80,227.09 | +11,396.75 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 76,437.44 | 93.5 | 71,469 | +8,311.27 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 50,747.78 | 86.5 | 43,896.83 | +4,649.46 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 24,048.71 | 96.2 | 23,134.85 | +3,659.2 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 19,999.98 | 95.4 | 19,089.98 | +290.02 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | 17,273.31 | 97.2 | 16,798.3 | +1,689.95 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 22,526.56 | 70.5 | 15,881.23 | +724.93 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 14,722.43 | 89.5 | 13,176.58 | +451.1 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | 14,173.38 | 91.2 | 12,926.13 | +2,539.8 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | 13,337.7 | 88.6 | 11,817.2 | +568.43 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 11,249.91 | 95.8 | 10,771.79 | +1,622.2 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 10,000.07 | 85.5 | 8,550.06 | +23.4 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 8,649.14 | 94.5 | 8,173.44 | +1,651.32 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 19,012.68 | 41.2 | 7,823.72 | +177.41 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 7,674.98 | 95.1 | 7,298.9 | +1,203.36 |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | 6,851.05 | 99.2 | 6,796.24 | +424.77 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | 7,330.37 | 88.5 | 6,487.38 | +229.87 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 6,964.38 | 93 | 6,476.88 | +469.91 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 8,122.07 | 78.5 | 6,375.82 | +1,131.04 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | 6,500 | 95 | 6,175 | +975 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | 6,478.32 | 94.5 | 6,122.01 | +498.52 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 8,299.64 | 72.5 | 6,017.24 | +1,198.92 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | 6,400.05 | 93.5 | 5,984.04 | +1,965.19 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | 5,428.68 | 99.4 | 5,398.82 | +304.98 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | 5,680.02 | 91.5 | 5,197.22 | +1,258.06 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 5,000 | 98.1 | 4,905 | +1,705 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 5,168.77 | 92.5 | 4,781.12 | +2,072.9 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 5,216.82 | 79.5 | 4,147.37 | −19.57 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 4,536.75 | 85.5 | 3,878.92 | −6.93 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 6,499.99 | 59.5 | 3,867.5 | −1,117.83 |
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