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Perto no ranking: #361 GoriIIa #362 monchi #363 0x1d0034134e #364 0x066423fcbd2e38a7b5f4ba813eb447b823c91f #365 SlotinCap #367 statwC00KS #368 cocos228 #369 tcp2 #370 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 #371 0xe74A4446EfD66A4de690962938F550D8921A40Ee-1764438981358
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | 83.352,82 | 96 | 79.977,03 | +11.146,69 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 76.437,44 | 93,5 | 71.469 | +8.311,27 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 50.747,78 | 87,6 | 44.480,43 | +5.233,06 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 24.048,71 | 96,2 | 23.134,85 | +3.659,2 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 19.999,98 | 95,4 | 19.089,98 | +290,02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 22.526,56 | 76,5 | 17.232,82 | +1.924,47 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | 17.273,31 | 97,2 | 16.798,3 | +1.689,95 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 14.722,43 | 89,5 | 13.176,58 | +451,1 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | 14.173,38 | 91,4 | 12.947,39 | +2.561,06 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | 13.337,7 | 88,6 | 11.817,2 | +568,43 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 11.249,91 | 95,6 | 10.760,54 | +1.610,95 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 10.000,07 | 86,5 | 8.650,06 | +123,4 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 8.649,14 | 94,5 | 8.173,44 | +1.651,32 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 19.012,68 | 41,2 | 7.833,23 | +186,91 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 7.674,98 | 95,3 | 7.314,25 | +1.218,71 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 8.122,07 | 80,5 | 6.538,27 | +1.293,48 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | 7.330,37 | 88,5 | 6.487,38 | +229,87 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | 6.964,38 | 93 | 6.476,88 | +469,91 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | 6.500 | 95 | 6.175 | +975 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | 6.478,32 | 94,5 | 6.122,01 | +498,52 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | 6.400,05 | 93,5 | 5.984,04 | +1.965,19 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | 5.680,02 | 93 | 5.282,42 | +1.343,26 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 6.873,75 | 75,5 | 5.189,68 | +1.199,15 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 5.000 | 97,8 | 4.890 | +1.690 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 5.168,77 | 92,5 | 4.781,12 | +2.072,9 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 5.216,82 | 79,5 | 4.147,37 | −19,57 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 4.536,75 | 87,5 | 3.969,65 | +83,8 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 10.000 | 35,5 | 3.550 | −1.250 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 6.499,99 | 54,5 | 3.542,5 | −1.442,83 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | 3.906,47 | 86,5 | 3.379,1 | +213,38 |
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