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Result and positionsWallet value, result (PnL) and every open market.
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0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
Positions value (US$)478 091,22
Result (US$)+537 556,48
Open markets79

Open positions

MarketQtyPrice (¢)Value (US$)Result (US$)
Iran Nuke before 2027?No83 352,829679 977,03+11 146,69
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No76 437,4493,571 469+8 311,27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes50 747,7887,444 378,93+5 131,56
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No24 048,7196,223 134,85+3 659,2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No27 526,5672,519 956,76+1 250,56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No19 999,9895,419 089,98+290,02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No17 273,3197,216 798,3+1 689,95
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No14 722,439013 250,19+524,71
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No14 173,3891,412 947,39+2 561,06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No13 337,788,611 817,2+568,43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No11 249,9195,610 760,54+1 610,95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10 000,0786,58 650,06+123,4
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No8 649,1494,58 173,44+1 651,32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No19 012,6840,67 728,66+82,34
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No7 674,9895,17 298,9+1 203,36
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No6 851,051006 847,62+476,15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No8 122,07806 497,66+1 252,87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No7 330,3788,56 487,38+229,87
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No6 964,38936 476,88+469,91
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No6 500956 175+975
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No6 478,3294,56 122,01+498,52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No6 400,0593,55 984,04+1 965,19
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No5 680,0291,55 197,22+1 258,06
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No6 888,574,55 131,93+1 132,84
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No5 00097,84 887,5+1 687,5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No5 168,7792,54 781,12+2 072,9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes5 216,8279,54 147,37−19,57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No4 536,7585,53 878,92−6,93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes6 499,9955,53 607,5−1 377,83
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes10 00033,53 350−1 450

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