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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 30,041.75 | 93.5 | 28,089.04 | +9,340.58 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 20,000 | 86.5 | 17,300 | +1,900 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 50,000 | 33.5 | 16,750 | −7,049.9 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 16,398.15 | 97 | 15,906.2 | +1,637.86 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 14,999.97 | 100 | 14,992.47 | +1,642.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 17,569.29 | 80.5 | 14,143.28 | +10,394.75 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 19,999.98 | 62.5 | 12,499.99 | +2,200.28 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 11,244.17 | 96.9 | 10,895.6 | +2,431.26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 10,710.32 | 95.2 | 10,190.87 | +3,293.66 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 9,319.46 | 97.8 | 9,114.43 | +2,573.18 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 9,439.82 | 84.6 | 7,981.37 | +1,222.46 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 9,999.91 | 67.5 | 6,749.94 | −350 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | 10,000 | 63.5 | 6,350 | +350 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 10,589.6 | 50.4 | 5,342.45 | +1,392.18 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 10,000 | 48 | 4,805 | −235 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 5,000 | 93.5 | 4,675 | +1,425 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 160,608.72 | 2.8 | 4,416.74 | +1,029.5 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | 22,476.51 | 17 | 3,821.01 | −289.68 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 69,995.09 | 5 | 3,534.75 | +754.34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 5,000 | 62.5 | 3,125 | +375 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | 3,000 | 97.3 | 2,919 | +519 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 3,000 | 81 | 2,430 | +1,500 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 2,248.13 | 95.8 | 2,152.58 | +420.03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 2,320.97 | 62.5 | 1,450.61 | +58.02 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 1,000 | 84 | 840 | +120 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 138,036.47 | 0.6 | 759.2 | −367.22 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | 1,000 | 74.8 | 748.5 | +7.5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 1,000 | 67.4 | 674.5 | +142.5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 10,000 | 6.5 | 650 | −150 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3,000 | 16.7 | 501 | +93 |
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