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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 30.041,75 | 93,5 | 28.089,04 | +9.340,58 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 20.000 | 86,5 | 17.300 | +1.900 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 50.000 | 33,5 | 16.750 | −7.049,9 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 16.398,15 | 97 | 15.906,2 | +1.637,86 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 14.999,97 | 100 | 14.992,47 | +1.642,5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 17.569,29 | 80,5 | 14.143,28 | +10.394,75 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 19.999,98 | 62,5 | 12.499,99 | +2.200,28 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 11.244,17 | 96,9 | 10.895,6 | +2.431,26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 10.710,32 | 95,2 | 10.190,87 | +3.293,66 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 9.319,46 | 97,8 | 9.114,43 | +2.573,18 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 9.439,82 | 84,6 | 7.981,37 | +1.222,46 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 9.999,91 | 67,5 | 6.749,94 | −350 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | 10.000 | 63,5 | 6.350 | +350 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 10.589,6 | 50,4 | 5.342,45 | +1.392,18 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 10.000 | 48 | 4.805 | −235 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 5.000 | 93,5 | 4.675 | +1.425 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 160.608,72 | 2,8 | 4.416,74 | +1.029,5 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | 22.476,51 | 17 | 3.821,01 | −289,68 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 69.995,09 | 5 | 3.534,75 | +754,34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 5.000 | 62,5 | 3.125 | +375 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | 3.000 | 97,3 | 2.919 | +519 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 3.000 | 81 | 2.430 | +1.500 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 2.248,13 | 95,8 | 2.152,58 | +420,03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 2.320,97 | 62,5 | 1.450,61 | +58,02 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 1.000 | 84 | 840 | +120 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 138.036,47 | 0,6 | 759,2 | −367,22 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | 1.000 | 74,8 | 748,5 | +7,5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 1.000 | 67,4 | 674,5 | +142,5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 10.000 | 6,5 | 650 | −150 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3.000 | 16,7 | 501 | +93 |
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