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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 30 041,75 | 93,5 | 28 089,04 | +9 340,58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 50 000 | 35,5 | 17 750 | −6 049,9 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 20 000 | 86,5 | 17 300 | +1 900 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 16 398,15 | 97,2 | 15 930,8 | +1 662,46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 14 999,97 | 100 | 14 992,47 | +1 642,5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 17 569,29 | 80,5 | 14 143,28 | +10 394,75 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 19 999,98 | 62,5 | 12 499,99 | +2 200,28 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 11 244,17 | 96,9 | 10 895,6 | +2 431,26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 10 710,32 | 95,2 | 10 190,87 | +3 293,66 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | 9 319,46 | 97,8 | 9 114,43 | +2 573,18 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 9 439,82 | 84,6 | 7 981,37 | +1 222,46 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 9 999,91 | 67,5 | 6 749,94 | −350 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | 10 000 | 62,5 | 6 250 | +250 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 10 589,6 | 50,4 | 5 337,16 | +1 386,89 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 10 000 | 47,8 | 4 785 | −255 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 5 000 | 93,5 | 4 675 | +1 425 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | 22 476,51 | 20,5 | 4 607,68 | +497 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 160 608,72 | 2,8 | 4 416,74 | +1 029,5 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 69 995,09 | 5 | 3 534,75 | +754,34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 5 000 | 62,5 | 3 125 | +375 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | 3 000 | 97,3 | 2 919 | +519 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 3 000 | 81 | 2 430 | +1 500 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 2 248,13 | 95,8 | 2 152,58 | +420,03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 2 320,97 | 62,5 | 1 450,61 | +58,02 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 1 000 | 84 | 840 | +120 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 138 036,47 | 0,6 | 759,2 | −367,22 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | 1 000 | 72,3 | 723 | −18 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 1 000 | 67,4 | 673,5 | +141,5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 10 000 | 6,5 | 650 | −150 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | 3 000 | 19,4 | 582 | +174 |
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