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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 11,655.59 | 79.5 | 9,266.19 | +240.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 8,234.02 | 99.7 | 8,209.32 | +504.56 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 6,721.99 | 95.6 | 6,429.58 | +67.58 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 6,803.69 | 86 | 5,851.17 | +56.35 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 8,320.58 | 60.8 | 5,063.07 | +704.17 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 7,499.99 | 67.5 | 5,062.49 | −75.83 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 5,656.27 | 86.5 | 4,892.67 | +136.13 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6,038.57 | 80.5 | 4,861.05 | −55.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 4,574.4 | 100 | 4,574.4 | +167.67 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 3,958.26 | 99.7 | 3,946.38 | +210.1 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | 4,291.7 | 91.3 | 3,918.32 | +567.3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 6,000 | 62.5 | 3,750 | −119.99 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 4,050.46 | 90.5 | 3,665.67 | +131.8 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 4,265.38 | 79.5 | 3,390.98 | −106.64 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 8,588.35 | 38.5 | 3,306.52 | −808.54 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 3,434.48 | 96.2 | 3,303.97 | +479.05 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 3,392.05 | 96.8 | 3,281.8 | +181.15 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 7,713.46 | 41 | 3,158.66 | −77.45 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 3,848.81 | 81.9 | 3,152.18 | −229.17 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 3,481.69 | 89.5 | 3,116.11 | +161.17 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No | 3,923.11 | 78.5 | 3,079.64 | +69.53 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 3,888.81 | 78.5 | 3,052.71 | +285.49 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | 3,077.48 | 95.2 | 2,928.22 | −9.88 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | 3,008.89 | 95.6 | 2,878 | +126.44 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 4,172.52 | 68.5 | 2,858.18 | −42.2 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | 3,555.24 | 79.5 | 2,826.42 | −44.8 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 4,499.96 | 62 | 2,789.98 | +70.04 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 3,299.96 | 84.2 | 2,778.56 | +258.88 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 3,000.01 | 90.5 | 2,715.01 | +75.01 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 3,120.58 | 84.5 | 2,636.89 | +261.12 |
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